I'm getting a bit sick and tired of barely-more-than-teenage newsreaders, who are more concerned about what they look like on television than what's going on in Ukraine, "analysing" the war. Something much more in-depth is definitely needed here.
Enter William Spaniel who is a political scientist who studies war, nuclear proliferation, and terrorism (mostly) using formal models. Currently, he is an assistant professor in the University of Pittsburgh’s Department of Political Science. Before that, he was a Stanton Nuclear Security Postdoctoral Fellow at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. he received a PhD from the University of Rochester in 2015. [Click here for his c.v.]
He published "What Caused the Russia-Ukraine War? (And How Will It End?)" which is available here. Order your copy now to have something to read while you await the all-clear in your atomic fall-out shelter!
For a preview click here
What really won me over to William Spaniel was his well-reasoned analysis more than a month ago of why the most obvious target, the Crimean Bridge, hadn't been destroyed yet. It has been PARTIALLY destroyed just hours ago which seems to fit William Spaniel's description of what the Israelis did at the Aswan Dam, i.e. "Look out, we can do it!"
These video clips are not your usual five-second grab but, as I alluded to earlier, worth the time it takes to watch them BEFORE the lights go out!
P.S. Not to be found asleep at the wheel, William Spaniel has just now posted a video clip in which he poses the question, "What the Crimean Bridge Attack Means for the Russia-Ukraine War?" with the following proviso: "I produced this video just a few hours after the attack. The situation and the facts on the ground are rapidly changing, so keep that in mind as you are watching it. As with all of my videos, the main thing I want you to take away is the overall strategic issues at play, which extend beyond a single attack."